Liu Xiangdong, Deputy Director of Scientific Research and Information Department of International Economic Exchange Center: Comprehensive improvement of "involution" competition will help scientific and technological innovation and industrial development enter a virtuous circle. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed that scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productive forces and build a modern industrial system. In this regard, Liu Xiangdong, deputy director of the Scientific Research and Information Department of China International Economic Exchange Center, said that at present, China's economic development is in a critical period of transforming old and new kinetic energy. Scientific and technological innovation is the core element of developing new quality productivity. To break through the bottleneck of development from the supply side, it is necessary to lead industrial innovation and development with scientific and technological innovation and actively cultivate and develop new quality productivity. To cultivate new quality productivity, we should drive productivity to leap to advanced quality with scientific and technological innovation, open up new development fields and tracks with original and subversive technological innovation, and shape new development momentum and new advantages. (SSE)US National Security Adviser Sullivan: We are seeking to reach a hostage release agreement and cease fire; Ceasefire and hostage agreement will begin to bring hostages home and greatly increase aid to Gaza.The director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down early on January 20th. On December 12th, local time, the Federal Aviation Administration said that the director of the Federal Aviation Administration, Mike Whitaker, will step down after President-elect Trump took office on January 20th. It is reported that Whitaker was confirmed for a five-year term in October 2023. In addition, Katie Thomson, deputy director of the Federal Aviation Administration of the United States, will step down on January 10th, and Mark House, assistant director of finance and management of the agency, will be the senior acting official of the agency during the transition period.
After the US PPI and initial application data were released, the price of gold dropped further. After the US PPI and initial application data exceeded expectations, the price of gold continued to decline. Paul Ashworth, a macro analyst at Kaitou, said: "The components of PCE favored by the Federal Reserve are generally weak, and the CPI data released yesterday indicate that the monthly rate of core PCE will only increase slightly by 0.03%. Now it seems that the Fed is more likely to continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. " At the same time, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 last week, the highest level since mid-October last year, while economists expected a decrease of 4,000 to 220,000.Xue Hongyan, Vice President of Xingtu Financial Research Institute: Stabilizing the stock market means stabilizing expectations and confidence. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Why is the central government proposing to "stabilize the stock market" at this time node? What are the considerations behind it? Xue Hongyan, vice president of Xingtu Finance Research Institute, pointed out that the stock market is a barometer of the economy, and its ups and downs reflect the social expectation of the economic development prospects. In this sense, stabilizing the stock market will help to better form a positive and optimistic situation for development. Since the "924" policy shift, the A-share market has ushered in a round of surge, and the bull market has been widely discussed at the social level, which has effectively boosted market confidence. Therefore, in a sense, stabilizing the stock market means stabilizing expectations and confidence. The meeting proposed to deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market. What is the internal relationship between this and "stabilizing the stock market", and how should the next step of "deepening the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market" be exerted? Xue Hongyan said that the value of the capital market is mainly reflected in two aspects: one is to serve the high-quality development of the real economy with financing function, and the other is to let investors share more fruits of economic development with investment function, which are mutually causal and indispensable. Xue Hongyan believes that this round of capital market reform, emphasizing on vigorously guiding medium and long-term funds to enter the market, opening up the blocking points of social security, insurance, wealth management and other funds to enter the market, and emphasizing the protection of the interests of small and medium-sized investors, will help fundamentally improve the capital supply and demand structure and micro-ecology, and lay a solid foundation for the long-term cattle market. (The country is a through train)Liu Xiaochun, Vice President of Shanghai New Finance Research Institute: Small and medium-sized financial institutions may focus on capital increase, restructuring and mergers and acquisitions. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of no systematic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Liu Xiaochun, vice president of Shanghai Institute of New Finance and Shanghai Jiaotong University Institute of Finance, believes that local debt risks are gradually being resolved, and efforts should be made to resolve real estate risks and risks of small and medium-sized financial institutions in the next stage. (SSE)
The European Central Bank predicts that the inflation rate will drop to 2% in the fourth quarter of 2025.Dong Ximiao, Principal Investigator of Zhaolian: Support small and medium-sized banks to better establish a long-term mechanism for capital replenishment. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of systemic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian, believes that more resolute and effective measures should be taken to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, speed up the reform of small and medium-sized financial institutions, and firmly hold the bottom line of no systemic risks. (SSE)Zhang Yiqun, Vice Chairman of the Performance Committee of China Finance Association: The fiscal deficit will be greatly increased or released over 5 trillion yuan next year, and the Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Zhang Yiqun, deputy director of the Performance Committee of China Finance Association, said that the fiscal deficit will be greatly increased on the basis of 3% this year, and it is estimated that deficit ratio will be in the range of 3.5% to 4% next year, which will release more than 5 trillion yuan of space.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14